According to recent surveys in Xinjiang’s cotton areas, topping work has been carried out in various places since early July (the XPCC was 2-3 days earlier than the local area), and cotton plants generally grow to 60-80 cm. Due to cooling, precipitation, hail and other weather conditions from April to May, the proportion of cotton seedlings replanted or even resown is high in some areas. Cotton growth is uneven, which has a certain impact on field management such as topping and pest control.
Currently, most cotton processing enterprises in Xinjiang have gradually begun machinery and equipment maintenance, fire protection and safety improvements, and commercial bank loan applications, etc., which has increased their demand for working capital. Several ginners in Kashgar, Korla and other places said that the harvest and launch of seed cotton in 2021/22 are expected to be slightly delayed compared to the previous year, but it will not be too obvious. Although the weather during the planting period from April to May is relatively unfavorable, various parts of Xinjiang have entered “barbecue” mode (sustained high temperatures above 35 degrees Celsius) since late June, accelerating cotton budding, flowering, and peach setting.
Judging from surveys, cotton farmers and cotton processing plants in Xinjiang are generally not optimistic about Xinjiang’s cotton yield and total output in 2021/22. Some farmers in towns and villages even expect that the yield will drop by nearly 5%. , mainly due to the following reasons: First, some of the main cotton producing areas in Xinjiang encountered low temperatures, strong winds, sand and dust, and continuous precipitation in early and mid-May. Some cotton farmers replanted or resowed several times, which had a greater impact on the yield of early-maturing varieties; Second, affected by the announcement by some local governments to “expand food planting and accelerate the conversion of farmland to forestry and pasture”, non-cotton-friendly areas have accelerated their withdrawal; third, due to weather factors in some cotton areas in southern Xinjiang, the effects of winter irrigation or spring irrigation are not ideal, and the soil High salinity is not conducive to the germination and growth of cotton seedlings, and the effect of fertilization is also greatly reduced; fourthly, various cotton areas in Xinjiang have recently continued to issue high temperature red warnings, and the temperature in many places has reached above 35°C, which is not conducive to cotton budding, boll setting, and Seed peach (the phenomenon of bud shedding is aggravated), and disasters such as cotton aphids also appear. In addition, continued drought has limited irrigation water in various cotton areas, and its impact on the growth of cotton seedlings cannot be underestimated. </p
